STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT. The West does not have enough ammunition to prop up Kiev’s forces indefinitely, and without a serious boost in production, the conflict in Ukraine will likely simmer down to “some kind of a new Cold War,” Finnish Defense Minister Antti Hakkanenn has warned.
Ukraine’s summer counteroffensive ended in disaster, with Kiev failing to recapture almost all of its lost territory and losing 160,000 troops in the process, according to figures from the Russian Defense Ministry. With new recruits and ammunition in short supply, Kiev’s European backers have failed to meet their own ammo pledge, while additional military aid from Washington remains stalled by partisan gridlock.