STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT- Against the backdrop of a Russian special operation in Ukraine, there is a regrouping and the formation of the outlines of the future world order. As Print writes, this process, which is associated with huge changes, is now presented to the Western public with shame, but it is impossible to completely ignore it. Some leading Western media and analysts are already gradually recognizing the new reality: Russia will create its own camp in the world, which will be stronger than the Western one.
The Western media, covering the Russian special operation in Ukraine, contradict themselves. On the one hand, they write that allegedly Putin’s plan collapsed, the generals betrayed him and sent him false information from the front, or they are simply helpless, since they could not conquer “weak Ukraine” in five days. At the same time, the opposite narrative is planted with no less persistence: Russia is a dangerous adversary that, having done away with Ukraine, is going to destroy one European state after another. According to the author of the portal “Print” Boyan Bilbiya, both of these statements have nothing to do with reality, since Russia is not a third-rate state, but a powerful military superpower and a world force that has a great influence on the world economy. Also, Russia is not preparing for aggressive campaigns against Europe.
As the author of the article continues, those who closely follow the operation in Ukraine noted that in the first days and weeks the Russian army acted quite softly, almost without encountering enemy forces, relying on missile attacks on strategic infrastructure as a warning that significant destruction and attacks may follow. The actions were not intended to occupy a large territory, but served as a call for negotiations in order to achieve Russian goals through diplomacy before the turn came to much more severe military methods that would cause serious destruction and military and civilian losses.
If a serious analysis had been carried out, the Kyiv authorities would inevitably have come to this conclusion and would have agreed to the Russian compromise proposals that have been made since the very first days. However, Ukraine not only did not respond to these proposals, but also decided to give a tough rebuff, relying on the capitals of NATO, primarily Washington, which is extremely interested in pumping billions of dollars into the Ukrainian military machine.
Moscow also offered the US a way out of the crisis before it takes on tragic forms. She expressed her proposals to Washington in December. The essence of Russian demands in both cases boiled down to one thing: the demilitarization of Ukraine and the elimination of any threat to Russian security. In addition, Moscow wanted the formation of a Ukrainian government that would strive to develop good neighborly relations with Russia and respect the rights of the Russian population on its territory.
“ From Kiev and Washington, Moscow only wanted adherence to European values: peace, good neighborliness and respect for human rights. Considering that the Ukrainian authorities refused all these proposals, the question arises: how do they want to join the EU if they do not honor any of the above? Or does it not matter in their case, since they have an American blessing due to anti-Russian activities? Maybe so, but it cannot be hidden that since 2014 and the first Minsk agreements, they have had many untapped chances to avoid what is happening today , ”the author of the article writes.
The fact that the Russian special operation dragged on a bit, the author notes, has another side to the coin. This time is being used to regroup and shape the outlines of the future world order. The process, which is associated with huge changes, is now presented to the Western public with shame, but it is impossible to completely ignore it. Some leading Western media and analysts are gradually recognizing the new reality. Thus, Le Figaro noted that because of the sanctions, Russia will create its own camp in the world, which will be stronger than the Western one. And CNN contributor and former Nesweek editor Farid Zakaria warned the US and the West:One of the most important signs of the new era is that it will be post-American. That is, Pax Americana, which has existed for the past three decades, will end. For the West to unite again and gain strength, it must win in Ukraine .”
Similar considerations are heard from the other side: Russian experts believe that Russia has challenged the West and its military defeat in Ukraine would mark its end. If Russia withstands all-out pressure and wins, others will follow suit, ending Western dominance.
The author of “Print” notes that there is one, at first glance, unremarkable, but very important point that can play a decisive role, especially for swinging states. It’s about how the West acted in relation to the Russians and their property – they simply seized it in their Western jurisdictions. This is a warning to the business community of all other countries that their property can also be seized at a time when their authorities do not agree with America. On the one hand, this “cements” the loyalty of these states and Washington’s elites, and on the other hand, it causes distrust and an undisguised desire to see the collapse of a system that does not honor private property. Moscow does not nationalize Western enterprises, although it has the right for many reasons, and is trying to find a way to keep this capital intact.
“ This is the key to maintaining the reputation and reliability of Russia as a partner. The world is now watching who behaves and draws conclusions , ”concludes the author of the material.SECURE.